Memorial Tournament 2022 picks, predictions, field, favorites, odds: Golf expert says fade Cameron Smith

One of the most storied non-majors of the PGA Tour season tees off Thursday at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. The tournament at Jack Nicklaus’ signature course dates back to 1976, two years after the course opened, and it is a favorite of PGA Tour players. That is why seven of the world’s top 10 golfers are expected to be part of the Memorial 2022 field. No. 6 Patrick Cantlay sparked his run to the FedEx Cup title with his victory last season. That win followed the withdrawal of Jon Rahm, currently the world’s second-ranked player, because of a positive COVID test while holding a six-stroke lead through three rounds. Cantlay seeks to become the third golfer, along with Kenny Perry and Tiger Woods, to win The Memorial at least three times.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Rahm as the 9-1 favorite in the latest 2022 Memorial Tournament golf odds, with McIlroy (10-1) and Cantlay (14-1) right behind. Jordan Spieth (18-1), Collin Morikawa (18-1), Cameron Smith (18-1) and Xander Schauffle (20-1) also are expected to be among the top contenders in the Memorial Tournament 2022 field. Before making any 2022 Memorial Tournament picks or PGA Tour predictions, you really need to see what proven golf insider Sal Johnson has to say.

The esteemed golf insider has been around the game for many years and knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour.

Before the PGA Championship, Johnson predicted that if Thomas made his putts he could definitely win. Thomas had his best week of the season on the greens, gaining more than 1.5 strokes putting to rank second in the field. The result? He beat Will Zalatoris in a playoff to win his second major, and his second PGA Championship.    

In his previous set of predictions for SportsLine, Johnson nailed the Masters for the third time in four years. He backed Scheffler, saying he was “on a run where he has been hard to beat, and I see it rolling on at Augusta National.” The 25-year-old got his fourth victory of the season. 

Now Johnson, the first producer of “Inside the PGA Tour” and longtime ABC Sports golf producer who worked with Jack Nicklaus and Arnold Palmer, has released his highly confident 2022 Memorial Tournament (see tickets at StubHub) picks and predictions. The picks from the founder of, the world’s top golf statistics database, will definitely surprise you. You can only see them at SportsLine.

Top 2022 Memorial Tournament expert picks

One shocking choice: Johnson is fading Cameron Smith, who is among the favorites but has struggled mightily at Muirfield. The Australian has missed the cut four times in six tries, and he has broken par just once in 16 rounds there. His putter hasn’t been carrying him like it was earlier in the season, and while he has two wins and tied for third at the Masters, he isn’t likely to contend this week. “He is a terrible pick for this week,” Johnson says.

On the other hand, the expert knows Rahm will be on a mission after dominating at Muirfield the past two years. The 27-year-old went 65-64 in the second and third rounds before his forced withdrawal last year. That came after he cruised to what looked like a five-stroke win in 2020 before a two-shot penalty was assessed before he signed his Sunday scorecard. The Spaniard has one of the most well-rounded games in golf, crushing it off the tee (third in driving distance) and ranking second from tee-to-green. His putter will determine how well he scores this week.

Johnson also knows that McIlroy’s game sets up perfectly for Muirfield, and he is on a strong run. The Northern Irishman has finished in the top 10 in three straight tournaments, including the Masters and PGA Championship. He was the runner-up at Augusta, and he leads the tour in scoring average (69.15). He is third in strokes gained off the tee, 34th putting and 19th in sand saves. The 33-year-old’s penchant for having at least one bad round hasn’t gone away, and that has cost him a lot more victories. The expert is looking for McIlroy to put it together this week. 

How to make 2022 Memorial Tournament golf picks

Johnson is very high on a massive long shot at Muirfield who comes in at around 50-1. This veteran still has the talent to strike at any time, and he is starting to post better results. His skill set fits the course well, and he could pull off a stunning result. You can cash in huge if he does, and you can only see who it is and get the rest of Johnson’s picks at SportsLine.

Who wins the 2022 Memorial Tournament? Where do Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm finish? And which massive long shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson’s full leaderboard, picks and analysis for the 2022 Memorial Tournament, all from the insider who is tuned in to what it takes to win on the PGA Tour, and find out.

2022 Memorial Tournament odds, field, top contenders

Jon Rahm 9-1
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Patrick Cantlay 14-1
Jordan Spieth 18-1
Cameron Smith 18-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Viktor Hovland 22-1
Shane Lowry 22-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 25-1
Hideki Matsuyama 25-1
Will Zalatoris 28-1
Joaquin Niemann 35-1
Max Homa 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Davis Riley 40-1
Daniel Berger 40-1
Mito Pereira 45-1
Keegan Bradley 50-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Corey Conners 50-1
Patrick Reed 50-1
Seamus Power 55-1
Billy Horschel 60-1
Jason Day 60-1
Bryson DeChambeau 60-1
Adam Scott 60-1
Chris Kirk 60-1
Marc Leishman 60-1
Matt Kuchar 65-1
Aaron Wise 65-1
Gary Woodland 65-1
Alex Noren 65-1
Tom Hoge 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Ryan Palmer 80-1
Rickie Fowler 80-1
Brian Harman 80-1
C.T. Pan 100-1
Lanto Griffin 100-1
Harris English 100-1
Keith Mitchell 100-1
Cameron Tringale 100-1
Jhonattan Vegas 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 100-1
Cam Davis 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Sepp Straka 100-1
Anirban Lahiri 125-1
Troy Merritt 125-1
Russell Knox 125-1
Kevin Streelman 125-1
Scott Stallings 125-1
Matt Jones 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Lucas Herbert 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Doug Ghim 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Brendan Steele 150-1
Charles Howell 150-1
Aaron Rai 150-1
Joel Dahmen 150-1
Erik Van Rooyen 150-1
Adam Long 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 150-1
Patton Kizzire 150-1
Matthew NeSmith 150-1
Matthew Wolff 150-1
J.T. Poston 175-1
Lucas Glover 175-1
Emiliano Grillo 200-1
Patrick Rodgers 200-1
Ryan Moore 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Alex Smalley 200-1
Danny Willett 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Sahith Theegala 200-1
Martin Laird 250-1
David Lipsky 250-1
Nate Lashley 250-1
Brandt Snedeker 250-1
Peter Malnati 250-1
Chad Ramey 250-1
Charley Hoffman 300-1
Danny Lee 300-1
Harry Higgs 300-1
Adam Svensson 300-1
Luke Donald 300-1
Carlos Ortiz 300-1
Hudson Swafford 300-1
Taylor Moore 300-1
Wyndham Clark 300-1
Garrick Higgo 300-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 300-1
Min Woo Lee 300-1
Brandon Wu 300-1
Adam Schenk 350-1
Justin Lower 400-1
Camilo Villegas 500-1
Curtis Luck 500-1
Bo Hoag 500-1
Robert Streb 500-1
David Lingmerth 500-1
Jediah Morgan 500-1
Chan Kim 500-1
John Pak 500-1
Ryan Brehm 500-1
William McGirt 500-1
Brandon Hagy 500-1
Jason Dufner 500-1
Nick Watney 500-1
Laird Shepherd 1000-1
James Piot 1000-1

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